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Next steps Apply the SCM to other states that implemented tobacco control programs after California (e.g., Massachusetts, Oregon) Explore heterogeneous effects by analyzing how the treatment effect varies across post-treatment years using rolling-window or recursive estimations Compare SCM estimates with difference-in-differences approaches applied to the same data Investigate conformal inference methods (Chernozhukov et al., 2021) for formal confidence intervals in the SCM framework 12

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South Beach Smoke cartridges are available in the following strengths: (24mg) (16mg) (12mg) (6mg) No Nicotine (0mg) NOTE: Many customers that are trying to reduce nicotine consumption gradually move down their nicotine levels